The Politics Of China S Demographic Challenge Youtube After peaking at over 1.42 billion in 2021, current forecasts project that china’s population will shrink by over 100 million people by 2050. by the end of the century, china’s population may dwindle to less than 800 million, with more dire scenarios putting the figure at less than 500 million. Births in china are in free fall: totaling 17.86 million in 2016, they slid to 9.56 million in 2022, a roughly 50 percent decline in six years. many chinese officials and scholars once echoed the view (expressed in cai fang’s piece) that beijing’s shift from a one to two child policy in 2016 (and from two to three in 2021) would produce both a “rebound” in births and a steady plateau.
юааthe Politicsюаб юааof Chinaтащsюаб юааdemographicюаб юааchallengeюаб тау Chinese Studies Here, repression has nothing to do with the usual political usage of the word. it means, rather, that the state controls domestic interest, exchange rates, and capital outflows in such a way that. China’s over 60 population sits at 297m, or 21% of the total. by 2050 those figures are expected to reach 520m and 38%. yet demographers describe china’s future as greyer—and smaller. while. The most serious challenge resulting from china’s demographic turn could be political. as china has ascended to an upper middle income society, and with fast economic growth in its rear view mirror, the political legitimacy of its government will increasingly hinge on its ability to deliver social welfare benefits commensurate with the. China’s president xi jinping is poised to secure an unprecedented third term as leader at a congress of his communist party this month, but behind the political theatre a broader shift is.
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